Resources for Modellers

Experts’ perceptions on the use of visual analytics for complex mental healthcare planning: an exploratory study

Peer reviewed: Yes. Authors: Walsh, Erin I and Chung, Younjin and Cherbuin, Nicolas and Salvador-Carulla, Luis. Publication: BMC Medical Research Methodology Year: 2020 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-020-00986-0 Method: Online survey of an international pool of policy-makers, health agency directors, and researchers with extensive and direct experience of using visual analytics tools for complex mental healthcare systems planning. Message: Preliminary findings indicated that, despite a clear need to extract information from highly complex data, experts tend to utilise visualisations that are most familiar to them, widely understood, and not necessarily the most appropriate.

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An ecosystems approach to mental health services research

Peer reviewed: Yes Authors: Furst, Mary Anne and Bagheri, Nasser and Salvador-Carulla, Luis} Publication: BJPsych International Year: 2020 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1192/bji.2020.24 Method: Descriptive summary of mental health ecosystems methods. Message: Mental health ecosystems research is an emerging discipline which takes a whole-systems approach to mental healthcare, facilitating analysis of the complex environment and context of mental health systems, and translation of this knowledge into policy and practice. Evidence from the local context is needed in the analysis of complex interventions and of geographic variations in the outcomes of care.

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Factors affecting the implementation of simulation modelling in healthcare: A longitudinal case study evaluation

Peer reviewed: Yes Authors: Long, Katrina M and McDermott, F and Meadows, Graham N Publication: Journal of the Operational Research Society Year: 2020 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2019.1650624 Method: A qualitative, longitudinal case study approach, grounded in Pragmatism, complexity theory, and the critical incident approach exploring implementation of simulation modelling in healthcare. Message: Twenty-three critical incidents were identified, including changes in government policy and funding, organisational context, intervention activities, project management, and staffing. The analysis revealed a complex adaptive system, where the role of specific implementation factors changed over time, and through interaction with each other.

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The impact of reducing psychiatric beds on suicide rates

Peer reviewed: Yes. Authors: Atkinson, Jo-An and Page, Andrew and Skinner, Adam and Heffernan, Mark and Prodan, Ante and Hickie, Ian B. Publication: Frontiers in Psychiatry. Year: 2019 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyt.2019.00448 Method: A systems dynamics model was developed for Western Sydney Primary Health Network. Message: Study findings suggest that i) not all reductions to psychiatric beds will result in increases in suicide deaths; ii) a threshold appears to exist beyond which cuts are likely to adversely impact suicides; and iii) the threshold can be significantly increased by strengthening community-based mental health services capacity.

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Role of visual analytics in supporting mental healthcare systems research and policy: A systematic scoping review

Peer reviewed: Yes Authors: Chung, Younjin and Bagheri, Nasser and Salinas-Perez, Jose Alberto and Smurthwaite, Kayla and Walsh, Erin and Furst, MaryAnne and Rosenberg, Sebastian and Salvador-Carulla, Luis Publication: International Journal of Information Management. Year: 2020 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2019.04.012 Method: Scoping review. Message: Visual analytics is needed for mental healthcare systems research and policy. BibTeX: @article{ChungYRole2020U, title={Role of visual analytics in supporting mental healthcare systems research and policy: A systematic scoping review}, author={Chung, Younjin and Bagheri, Nasser and Salinas-Perez, Jose Alberto and Smurthwaite, Kayla and Walsh, Erin and Furst, MaryAnne and Rosenberg, Sebastian and Salvador-Carulla, Luis}, journal={International Journal of Information Management}, volume={50}, pages={}, year={2020}, publisher={Elsevier BV}}

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A decision support system for assessing management interventions in a mental health ecosystem: The case of Bizkaia (Basque Country, Spain)

Peer reviewed: Yes Authors: García-Alonso, Carlos R. and Almeda, Nerea and Salinas-Pérez, José A. and Gutiérrez-Colosía, Mencía R. and Uriarte-Uriarte, José J. and Salvador-Carulla, Luis Publication: PLOS ONE. Year: 2019 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212179 Method: A Monte-Carlo simulation combined with a fuzzy inference engine was used to examine the Relative Technical Efficiency (RTE) of three proposed intervention scenarios. Message: Decision makers can use information from this approach to design new interventions and policies.

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Causal modelling for supporting planning and management of mental health services and systems: a systematic review

Peer reviewed: Yes. Authors: Almeda, Nerea and García-Alonso, Carlos R and Salinas-Pérez, José A and Gutiérrez-Colosía, Mencía R and Salvador-Carulla, Luis. Publication: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. Year: 2019 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16030332 Method: A systematic review the use of causal modelling (a tool for decision-making based on identifying critical variables and their causal relationships) in mental health services and systems. Message: The papers included in the review showed very different objectives and subjects of study.

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Regional planning for meaningful person-centred care in mental health: context is the signal not the noise

Peer reviewed: Yes. Authors: Rock, D and Cross, SP Publication: Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences Year: 2020 DOI: doi:10.1017/S2045796020000153 Method: Editorial. Message: To ensure planned and provided care is most appropriate to more than merely the ‘average’ person requires a combination of (1) relevant, local and sophisticated data planning, collection and analysis systems, (2) more detailed person-centred service planning and delivery and (3) system accountability through co-design and transparent public reporting of health system performance in a manner that is understandable, relevant, and locally applicable.

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Simulation modelling in mental health: A systematic review

Peer reviewed: Yes Authors: Long, Katrina M and Meadows, Graham N Publication: Journal of Simulation Year: 2018 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41273-017-0062-0 Method: A systematic review the use of simulation modelling in mental healthcare. Message: There were widespread and innovative applications of simulation in the areas of medical decision making and epidemiology, with health system planning and optimisation relatively underrepresented. Markov modelling was the preferred method across area and illness. However, the literature is currently undermined by a lack of coherence and evidence of implementation, and there is an ongoing issue of accessing unpublished models from healthcare and government organisations.

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A modelling tool for policy analysis to support the design of efficient and effective policy responses for complex public health problems

Peer reviewed: Yes Authors: Atkinson, Jo-An and Page, Andrew and Wells, Robert and Milat, Andrew and Wilson, Andrew Publication: Implementation Science. Year: 2015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13012-015-0221-5 Method: Commentary. Message: There is a strong case for inclusion of systems modelling in the analytic tool kit for identifying targeted investments likely to deliver efficient, effective & equitable impacts. BibTeX: @article{AtkinsonJA2015S, title={A modelling tool for policy analysis to support the design of efficient and effective policy responses for complex public health problems}, author={Atkinson, Jo-An and Page, Andrew and Wells, Robert and Milat, Andrew and Wilson, Andrew}, journal={Implementation Science}, volume={10}, pages={26}, year={2015}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}}

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